Skip to main content




GLOBAL ECONOMIC MONITOR
June 2013

The global economy is slowly getting back on its feet, but it is by no means out of the woods, and prospects may be diverging. A three-speed global recovery is emerging. Sentiment has improved, but growth and jobs are still lagging in many places, some old risks remain and could rekindle tail risks, and new risks are arising. Policymakers must, to varying degrees, continue to nurse the recovery, repair systems damaged by the crisis, strengthen defenses against a recurrence, and anticipate new challenges from stronger expansion. In a world of inter-connections, lagging policy momentum in some corners will soon affect all.

In high-income countries, fiscal consolidation, high unemployment and still weak consumer and business confidence is expected to dampen growth in 2013. Major advanced economies need to balance supporting activity, while grappling with old risks from structural weaknesses that weigh on growth. In the US, while sentiment has improved, the top priority is to raise the debt ceiling in a timely manner and agree on a credible medium-term fiscal roadmap to bring down debt. In the euro area, monetary policy should remain accommodative and fiscal consolidation be properly paced. In addition, national authorities should fix frayed banking systems and rebuild competitiveness as required. Japanneeds to balance upfront stimulus with more ambitious plans to bring down debt and structural reforms to put growth on a permanently higher plane.
                                                               
In contrast, growth in the developing world will be solid but weaker than during the pre-crisis boom period. This is backed by the strengthening activity in emerging market and developing countries, which attracted capital flows due to relatively higher growth. However, emerging markets face the new risk of avoiding potential financial excesses. They should rebuild macroeconomic policy space and further strengthen financial regulation and supervision. Low-income countries need to take advantage of their current strong growth to rebuild buffers and invest in the future, including by reforming subsidy regimes, while meeting infrastructure and social needs.

It is critical to make the global economy more resilient. Policymakers should complete financial reforms to limit financial fragmentation and build a system that safely supports the real economy. Durable fiscal adjustment and institutional reform are needed to get to grips with high public and private debt. Job creation and inclusive growth are foundational priorities. Policies also need to support adjustment of global imbalances and take account of cross-border spillovers. In most of the advanced economies hit by the crisis, banks, households and firms need to redouble their efforts to deleverage and to repair their balance sheets, while policymakers must redouble their efforts to enact far-reaching reforms. Authorities in emerging market economies should continue to augment the macroprudential policies adopted to date with policies to build up financial resilience.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

ch-,l-ih- }kjk tkjh izsl foKfIr&fnukad 12-09-2016 1-    ch-,l-ih- dh jk"Vªh; v/;{k] lkaln ¼jkT;lHkk½ o iwoZ eq[;ea=h] mÙkj izns'k lqJh ek;korh th }kjk bZn&vy&vt+gk ¼cd+jhn½ ds R;ksgkj ij leLr ns'kokfl;ksa o [+kkldj mÙkj izns'k ds eqfLye lekt ds yksxksa dks gkfnZd c/kkbZ o fnyh 'kqHkdkeuk;saA 2-    bl eqckjd ekSds ij gt dk Q+jht+k vnk djus okys ifjokj ds yksxksa dks [k+kl c/kkbZA ubZ fnYyh] 12 flrEcj] 2016 % cgqtu lekt ikVhZ ¼ch-,l-ih-½ dh jk"Vªh; v/;{k] lkaln ¼jkT;lHkk½ o iwoZ eq[;ea=h] mÙkj izns'k lqJh ek;korh th us leLr ns'kokfl;ksa o [+kkldj mÙkj izns'k ds eqfLye lekt ds yksxksa dks bZn&vy&vt+gk ¼cd+jhn½ ds R;ksgkj dh gkfnZd c/kkbZ o fnyh 'kqHkdkeuk;sa nsrs gq;s dgk fd okLro esa nqfu;k Hkj ds eqlyekuksa dk ;g R;ksgkj vYykg dh jkg esa ml vt+he ¼egku½ dqckZuh dh ;kn esa euk;k tkrk gS vkSj mlh ijEijk dks fuHkkus dh dksf'k'k dh tkrh gS ftldh cqfu;kn gt+jr bczkfge ¼vy-½ vkSj muds csVs gt+jr bLekby ¼vy-½ ...
The Enkaysagar Holdings PLtd Daily HEADLINES   ART & ENTERTAINMENT SPORTS BUSINESS WORLD EDUCATION LEISURE #ECONOMY #NEWS MORE  Saturday, Aug. 20, 2016   Next update in about 24 hours    Archives The Unconventional 13-Minute Workout That Helps UFC Fighter Conor McGregor Knock Out Opponents In 13 Seconds Shared by SMOOTHTECH|PRO     menshealth.com  - Truth is, McGregor thinks traditional strength training is overrated. “People are so caught up in routine, doing the same thing over and over. I want to be an expert in many different things.” That... Pro athletes and the things they trademark Shared by Value Your Business     money.cnn.com  - That's why they trademark their names, catchphrases and logos -- things they think might turn into money-making ventures down the line. Sprinter Usain Bolt, for instance, trademarked an icon of the... ...
The Naresh Kumar Sagar Daily HEADLINES  PHOTOS  VIDEOS WORLD SPORTS LEISURE POLITICS BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT MORE Thursday, Oct. 06, 2016 Next update in about 24 hours  Archives Primaire à droite : Juppé reprend de l’avance sur Sarkozy, selon un sondage Harris Interactive pour France Télévisions Shared by Dominique LUNEL francetvinfo.fr  – Petite bouffée d’air pour Alain Juppé à un mois et demi du premier tour de la primaire à droite. Alors que Nicolas Sarkozy était revenu à sa hauteur dans les sondages réalisés à la mi-septembre, le… Indian languages face threat of fossilisation, need revitalisation Shared by radha raju hindustantimes.com  – India has now been a free country for 70-odd years. Over these decades, we have made progress in many spheres of activity but there is one area where things seem to be sharply deteriorating — the s… Do you want to live on your private aquarium?...